Arizona’s a swing state?
Myers Research (D) & Grove Insight (D) . 10/23-24. Likely voters. MoE 4% (No trend lines)
McCain (R) 44
Obama (D) 40
Early voters (34% of the sample)
McCain (R) 46
Obama (D) 47
The sample was 40 percent Republican, 33 Democratic, and 26 percent independent. ASU has its own survey coming Monday, and they’ve hinted at similar results.
Day-amm!!! (Southern for damn, y’all.)
UPDATE: More bad polling news for McCain from the Arizona Daily Star :
A statewide poll taken by Tucson-based Democratic pollsters Carol and Pete Zimmerman two weeks out from the election suggests McCain’s lead over Obama falls within the margin of error: 43.5 percent to 41.5 percent, with 10 percent of likely Arizona voters undecided.
Merrill is conducting a similar poll this weekend and predicts that the economic downturn will have narrowed McCain’s advantage from the 8-percentage-point lead he enjoyed in a previous poll. The Zimmerman poll shows Obama’s strength coming, as expected, from Pima County, where he has a 19-point lead over McCain. In Maricopa County, McCain holds just a 3-point lead in that poll.
And another update:
Northern Arizona Univ : McCain 49, Obama 41
Rasmussen : McCain 51, Obama 46
Arizona State Univ : McCain 46, Obama 44
As Liam said, it’s kind of pitiful when you can’t get the hometown pulling for you. Then again, he’s not exactly done a spank-up job as Senator either – he has, literally, the worst attendance record .